Tropical Storm Ernesto Expected to Strengthen and Move Westward

Tropical Storm Ernesto, currently located near 16.2N, 61.3W, is expected to strengthen and move westward over the next several days, according to a forecast from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The storm's estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb, with maximum sustained winds of 35 kt and gusts up to 45 kt.

At 13/0900Z, the center of Ernesto was located near 16.2N, 61.3W, having moved from its previous position near 16.1N, 60.5W at 13/0600Z. The storm is currently moving westward at a speed of 17 kt.

The NHC has issued a forecast for the next several days, predicting that Ernesto will continue to move westward and strengthen. By 13/1800Z, the storm is expected to be located near 17.1N, 63.4W with maximum sustained winds of 40 kt and gusts up to 50 kt.

By 14/0600Z, Ernesto is forecast to have further strengthened, with maximum sustained winds of 50 kt and gusts up to 60 kt. The storm is expected to continue moving westward, reaching a position near 18.7N, 65.7W by that time.

The NHC notes that errors in track predictions for tropical storms can be significant, with an average error of around 125 nm on day 4 and 175 nm on day 5. Similarly, intensity forecasts can also have errors, with an average error of around 15 kt each day.

This advisory is intended for mariners, aircraft, and other interests in the northwest Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, and the southeastern United States. The NHC has requested three-hourly ship reports within 300 miles of Ernesto's current position.

Comments

Distress Alert: Sailing Vessel Kiliki Overdue and in Need of Assistance

UPDATE: The crew members were rescued.

Distress Call Issued for Missing Sailing Yacht "ILAN7" in Ionian Sea

Issued by Inmarsat: 2024-04-23 12:45:02 Z The Italian Coast Guard is seeking assistance from all vessels transiting in the Ionian Sea to locate the missing sailing yacht "ILAN7". Details of the missing yacht: Name: ILAN7 Flag: Great Britain (UK) MMSI: 232029740 Callsign: MIBL9 Description: White with a blue underline, 14 meters long with a maximum width of 4 meters. Last known position: Latitude 37° 52.9282 N, Longitude 18° 22.9029 E (communicated on April 21, 2024). Departed from: Malta on April 11, 2024. Destination: Preveza, Greece. Number of people on board: One. Weather conditions in the search area: Winds up to 28 knots with gusts up to 38 knots. Waves up to 3.5 meters. All vessels in the Ionian Sea are requested to: Maintain a sharp lookout for the yacht "ILAN7". Report any sightings or information to the Italian Coast Guard at the following numbers: IMRCC Rome: Phone: +39 06 5924145 or +39 06 59084409 Fax: +39 06 5922737 or +39 06 59084793 Inmarsat C: 424744

Sailing Yacht Sunbeam Overdue – Italian Coast Guard Issues Search and Rescue Alert

UPDATE 08 Sptempber 2024: The vessel was located in the port of Denia. Alarm no longer active. With the post on Facebook the captain lets us know that they are fine: Oisin Margey Hi, I am the captain of Sunbeam. We are fine and currently approaching the East Coast of Spain. So sorry we did not hear the vhf call and very grateful for the concern for our well being. It is very much appreciated. Please get in touch if you need more information. Take care and safe sailing.

Sea warnings

Search This Blog